Air Conditioning

Hot town, summer in the city
Back of my neck getting dirty and gritty
The Lovin’ Spoonful, 1966

We may be entering a vicious circle—what scientists call a positive feedback loop—with respect to global warming. A hotter climate will increase the demand for air conditioning. By using electricity, air conditioning will increase the demand on power plants, yielding more carbon dioxide and further warming. For the United States, air conditioning is associated with 17% of residential electricity consumption. Until we generate electricity using non-fossil sources of energy, more air conditioning translates to a lot of carbon dioxide additions to the atmosphere.

The feedback loop will be exacerbated in urban areas, which typically show a “heat island” effect—that is, warming in excess of what is seen in the surrounding countryside as a result of the vast extent of pavement in urban areas that absorbs incoming solar radiation. With most of the world’s population growth destined for cities, the demand for air conditioning will increase disproportionately.

Are there alternatives? Yes, trees are natural agents of cooling, inasmuch as they take up water from the soil and evaporate—transpire—it from leaf surfaces. Each gram of water converted from liquid to vapor carries away what is known as the latent heat of vaporization, about 533 calories or 2230 kilojoules of energy. It doesn’t take more than a quick trip between the city center and a surrounding suburban area to notice that the atmosphere is cooler when trees are present. The ground in most urban areas is paved, so rainfall runs off quickly, but when soils are permeable, rainwater infiltrates, refills the soil pore space, and provides a reservoir that trees can tap for transpiration. Meanwhile, trees also take up carbon dioxide from the atmosphere and store it in cellulose.

All this speaks to the importance of planting trees in urban areas to lower ambient temperatures and reduce the need for air conditioning. Urban renewal by planting trees in Shanghai reduced the average temperature by 0.58o C (about 1o F) between 2005 and 2016. Urban areas with trees are likely to show the greatest cooling in drier climates, where the rate of transpiration is greatest after rainfall. Cooling via the transpiration of trees is likely to be less effective in tropical climates, which normally have high humidity and lower rates of evaporation.

One recent paper, looking at nearly 100 cities in the United States found that 78% of city dwellers live in neighborhoods with less than 20% tree cover. It suggests that widespread program of tree planting in urban areas might save at least $21 per person in reduced costs for health care and electricity. The total savings for the U.S. would range from $5.3 to $12.1 billion.

Where it is used, air conditioning is responsible for a decline in heat-related mortality and increased work-place productivity. If we can achieve the same result using trees, we can step off the vicious circle of global warming associated with increased use of fossil fuels for air conditioning.


Biardeau, L.T., L.W. Davis, P. Gertler, and C. Wolfram. 2020. Heat exposure and global air conditioning. Nature Sustainability 3: 25-28.

Davis, L., and P. Gertler. 2015. Contribution of air conditioning adoption to future energy use under global warming. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 112: 5962-5967

Manoli, G., and 8 others. 2019. Magnitude of urban heat islands largely explained by climate and population. Nature 573: 55-59

McDonald, R.I., T. Kroeger, P. Zhang, P. Hamel. 2020. The value of US urban tree cover for reducing heat-related health impacts and electricity consumption. Ecosystems 23: 137-150.

Novick, K.A. and G.G. Katul. 2020. The Duality of Reforestation Impacts on Surface and Air Temperature. Journal of Geophysical Research, Biogeosciences doi: 10.1029/2019JG005543

Schlesinger, W.H. and S. Jasechko. 2014. Transpiration in the global water cycle. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology 189/190:115-117.

Waite, M., et al. 2017. Global trends in urban electricity demands for heating and cooling. Energy 127: 786-802.

Wei Wang and Jiong Shu. 2020. Urban renewal can mitigate urban heat islands. Geophysical Research Letters doi: 10.1029/2019GL085948

2 thoughts on “Air Conditioning

  1. I once read in the New York Times that the refrigerants in many air conditioners have a global warming factor far higher than methane. Sometimes thousands of times higher than CO2, As the developing nations of China, India, Indonesia, etc, begin buying and using window air conditioners and high rise roof mounted air conditioners with the new refrigerants which prevent the depletion of Ozone but increase global warming, the circle of which you write could become even worse. GWP of some refrigerants can run from 600 to over 2000. That means that the gas has 600 times to 2000 times the GWP of CO2. As these air conditoners wear out, leak, or are improperly disposed of, the long lasting refrigerants will have far greater impact than methane or CO2.

    1. Last sentence is not correct, inasmuch as the emissions of CO2 and methane are so much larger than the emissions of refrigerants.

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