{"id":792,"date":"2018-08-14T10:29:02","date_gmt":"2018-08-14T14:29:02","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/blogs.nicholas.duke.edu\/silver-buckshot\/?p=792"},"modified":"2018-08-14T10:29:02","modified_gmt":"2018-08-14T14:29:02","slug":"no-country-for-clean-cars","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/blogs.nicholas.duke.edu\/silver-buckshot\/no-country-for-clean-cars\/","title":{"rendered":"No Country for Clean Cars"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>As we in the environmental community know all too well, progress does not march in a straight line. Too often, our quest to create a better planet takes a step back\u2014or two.<\/p>\n<p>The EPA&#8217;s <a href=\"https:\/\/www.epa.gov\/newsreleases\/us-epa-and-dot-propose-fuel-economy-standards-my-2021-2026-vehicles\">announcement<\/a> on Aug. 2 that it would lower fuel-economy standards for passenger cars produced between 2021 and 2026\u2014and revoke California&#8217;s ability to set its own higher state-level fuel standards\u2014is just such a one-two punch to our environmental progress. Transportation fuels are now the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.eia.gov\/todayinenergy\/detail.php?id=29612\">single biggest contributor<\/a> to greenhouse gas emissions in the U.S., and their emissions are still growing. In 2012, when President Obama set new fuel-economy standards that would ratchet up to an average of 54.5 mpg by 2025, the move was <a href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonpost.com\/national\/health-science\/autos-must-average-545-mpg-by-2025-new-epa-standards-are-expected-to-say\/2012\/08\/28\/2c47924a-f117-11e1-892d-bc92fee603a7_story.html?noredirect=on&amp;utm_term=.19abedb97bbc\">endorsed by industry and environmental groups<\/a> alike. By contrast, the Trump administration&#8217;s move to freeze fuel-economy standards from 2020 onward, forcing American drivers to use more gasoline for every mile they drive, did not even receive a supportive press release from the American Petroleum Institute.<\/p>\n<figure id=\"attachment_798\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-798\" style=\"width: 500px\" class=\"wp-caption alignleft\"><a href=\"http:\/\/blogs.nicholas.duke.edu\/silver-buckshot\/files\/2018\/08\/RhodiumCAFEstdsFig1.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-798\" src=\"http:\/\/blogs.nicholas.duke.edu\/silver-buckshot\/files\/2018\/08\/RhodiumCAFEstdsFig1.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"500\" height=\"320\" srcset=\"https:\/\/blogs.nicholas.duke.edu\/silver-buckshot\/files\/2018\/08\/RhodiumCAFEstdsFig1.jpg 712w, https:\/\/blogs.nicholas.duke.edu\/silver-buckshot\/files\/2018\/08\/RhodiumCAFEstdsFig1-300x192.jpg 300w, https:\/\/blogs.nicholas.duke.edu\/silver-buckshot\/files\/2018\/08\/RhodiumCAFEstdsFig1-520x333.jpg 520w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 500px) 100vw, 500px\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-798\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">The Trump administration&#8217;s move to freeze fuel-efficiency standards will result in new cars being close to 10 mpg less efficient by 2025. C\/o Rhodium Group<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>According to the Rhodium Group, the new lower fuel standards could increase total emissions of greenhouse gases in the US <a href=\"https:\/\/rhg.com\/research\/sizing-up-a-potential-fuel-economy-standards-freeze\/\">by 0.3-0.7% by 2025<\/a>. The impact on emissions would only grow from there. By 2035, if the Trump administration&#8217;s standards remain in effect and oil prices remain low, the U.S.&#8217;s contribution to climate change could rise by the equivalent of the national emissions of Belgium.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/legal-planet.org\/2018\/07\/23\/wheeler-epa-looking-to-freeze-auto-standards-revoke-california-waiver\/\">In the words of Ann Carlson<\/a>, the co-director of the Emmett Institute on Climate Change and the Environment at UCLA School of Law, the Trump EPA&#8217;s rollback of fuel-economy standards is &#8220;the single most consequential and devastating act against Obama-era climate policies the Trump Administration has taken.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Consider the other major environmental policy rollbacks under the Trump administration. Last June, Trump announced that the US would leave the Paris Agreement\u2014but this was seen as a largely symbolic move, since (a) the U.S. can&#8217;t officially exit the agreement for four more years and (b) the Paris Agreement didn&#8217;t carry any significant legal requirements for the U.S., anyway. In October, the EPA moved to repeal the Clean Power Plan, Obama&#8217;s signature piece of power sector regulation; but researchers determined that, due to low natural gas prices, the U.S.\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.cmu.edu\/dietrich\/news\/news-stories\/2018\/february\/clean-power-plan-compliance-paths.html\">could meet the Clean Power Plan&#8217;s emission goals<\/a> even without the regulation in place.<\/p>\n<p>But cars are different. Despite the growing share of electric vehicles on the market, the rising popularity of alternative modes of transportation and the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonpost.com\/business\/economy\/at-tesla-elon-musk-casts-himself-as-a-superhero-but-he-sweats-the-details-on-the-factory-floor\/2018\/07\/05\/0df07db6-7e0b-11e8-b0ef-fffcabeff946_story.html?utm_term=.aebe8cfab3b9\">superhero-like qualities<\/a> of Elon Musk, greenhouse gas emissions from transportation continue to rise. It&#8217;s not at all clear that this sector of the economy will decarbonize in the absence of strong federal policy. If it doesn&#8217;t, the U.S. will never meet the climate goals set by President Obama.<\/p>\n<p>Of course, the Trump administration puts far less stock in the importance of mitigating climate change. Last year, the administration revised the Social Cost of Carbon\u2014an economic measure of carbon dioxide&#8217;s harm to society\u2014from $42 down to as low as $1 per ton (The Government Accountability Office is now <a href=\"http:\/\/thehill.com\/policy\/energy-environment\/392066-gao-to-look-into-trump-administrations-reduction-of-social-cost-of\">reviewing<\/a> the new calculation).<\/p>\n<figure id=\"attachment_800\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-800\" style=\"width: 500px\" class=\"wp-caption alignright\"><a href=\"http:\/\/blogs.nicholas.duke.edu\/silver-buckshot\/files\/2018\/08\/LA_traffic_smog.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-800\" src=\"http:\/\/blogs.nicholas.duke.edu\/silver-buckshot\/files\/2018\/08\/LA_traffic_smog-300x225.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"500\" height=\"375\" srcset=\"https:\/\/blogs.nicholas.duke.edu\/silver-buckshot\/files\/2018\/08\/LA_traffic_smog-300x225.jpg 300w, https:\/\/blogs.nicholas.duke.edu\/silver-buckshot\/files\/2018\/08\/LA_traffic_smog-768x576.jpg 768w, https:\/\/blogs.nicholas.duke.edu\/silver-buckshot\/files\/2018\/08\/LA_traffic_smog.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/blogs.nicholas.duke.edu\/silver-buckshot\/files\/2018\/08\/LA_traffic_smog-520x390.jpg 520w, https:\/\/blogs.nicholas.duke.edu\/silver-buckshot\/files\/2018\/08\/LA_traffic_smog-740x555.jpg 740w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 500px) 100vw, 500px\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-800\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Air pollution from vehicles, a major concern in cities like Los Angeles, was not considered in the Trump administration&#8217;s economic analysis of freezing fuel standards. Photo by Jon Lee Clark<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>With climate impacts now carrying so little weight, the EPA justified its rollback on the dubious premises that fuel-economy technology costs would outweigh fuel savings (an argument that only works <a href=\"http:\/\/time.com\/5356504\/donald-trump-fuel-standards-argument\/\">if gas prices stay low<\/a>) and that making cars less efficient would reduce fatalities from highway crashes. Why? Because, according to the administration, the added expense of buying a fuel-efficient car will lead more people to keep older, less safe cars longer.<\/p>\n<p>However, as Bill Schlesinger, Dean Emeritus of the Nicholas School, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.eenews.net\/stories\/1060091777\">pointed out<\/a>, air pollution from dirtier tailpipes can lead to fatalities, too. There was no consideration of the effects of air pollution\u2014the world&#8217;s <a href=\"https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/environment\/2014\/mar\/25\/air-pollution-single-biggest-environmental-health-risk-who\">biggest environmental health risk<\/a>\u2014in the Trump EPA&#8217;s analysis.<\/p>\n<p>So, in light of this assault on an environmental policy that did its job, what can a despairing environmentalist do?<\/p>\n<ol>\n<li>Submit a <a href=\"https:\/\/www.regulations.gov\/comment?D=EPA-HQ-OAR-2018-0283-0001\">public comment<\/a> on the proposed rule (Less than 600 have been submitted so far\u2014if everyone at the Nicholas School weighed in, we could raise that by half!).<\/li>\n<li>Attend a public hearing\u2014dates to be announced\u2014in Washington D.C., Detroit or Los Angeles, and make it known that this rollback is bad for the American people as well as the climate.<\/li>\n<li>If you&#8217;re in the market for a new (or used) car, make sure it&#8217;s fuel-efficient!<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>In light of this assault on an environmental policy that did its job, what can a despairing environmentalist do?<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":621,"featured_media":795,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":false,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2},"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[22,23,29],"tags":[],"coauthors":[34],"class_list":["post-792","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-climate","category-energy","category-environmental-policy"],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/blogs.nicholas.duke.edu\/silver-buckshot\/files\/2018\/08\/evgeny-tchebotarev-247145-unsplash.jpg","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/p83y6J-cM","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/blogs.nicholas.duke.edu\/silver-buckshot\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/792","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/blogs.nicholas.duke.edu\/silver-buckshot\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/blogs.nicholas.duke.edu\/silver-buckshot\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.nicholas.duke.edu\/silver-buckshot\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/621"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.nicholas.duke.edu\/silver-buckshot\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=792"}],"version-history":[{"count":8,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.nicholas.duke.edu\/silver-buckshot\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/792\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":805,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.nicholas.duke.edu\/silver-buckshot\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/792\/revisions\/805"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.nicholas.duke.edu\/silver-buckshot\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/795"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/blogs.nicholas.duke.edu\/silver-buckshot\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=792"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.nicholas.duke.edu\/silver-buckshot\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=792"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.nicholas.duke.edu\/silver-buckshot\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=792"},{"taxonomy":"author","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.nicholas.duke.edu\/silver-buckshot\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/coauthors?post=792"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}